Sunday, June 9, 2019

The Economist

The Economist


Sometime in the 1970’s, I had a subscription to The Economist magazine. Why, in the face of poverty did I find the funds to buy a subscription? I just don’t know, but it was an education. Thank you, The Economist, for sharing erudite information and a unique perspective on the world. For one thing, it began to solidify my skepticism on the state of American journalism.

These people are not only smarter than me, they have good information and they know how to use the language to communicate that information.

For example, this (please be kind about their spelling and capitalization customs):

Why, a strategist from Mars might wonder, do Europeans doubt their ability to defend themselves against Russia without American help? The total gdp of nato’s European members is more than ten times that of Russia, which has an economy about the size of Spain’s. They spend three-and-a-half times as much on defence as Russia, which has lately had to cut its budget sharply because of a broader squeeze on its economy. True, Russia has 13 times as many nuclear warheads as western Europe has, but surely Britain and France, the two nuclear powers, have more than enough to deter an attack?
For decades Europeans did not need to worry about the Martian’s question, because America’s commitment to their defence was not in doubt. That has changed. “The times when we could unconditionally rely on others are past,” Angela Merkel told the European Parliament in November. She echoed the call of France’s president, Emmanuel Macron, for “a true European army”. In January the two leaders signed a treaty between France and Germany which includes a mutual-security pledge similar to nato’s Article 5 (as well as Article 42.7 of the European Union’s Lisbon treaty).

Did you know that NATO’s European members have GDP ten times that of Russia? I didn’t know that. It seems that Putin is not only the leader but the mascot of Russia—puffed up bigger than they are, the Phillies Phanatics of world leaders and nations.

Did you know that Russia has an economy the size of Spain? I didn’t. So why is it a big deal if they sell natural gas to Western Europe?

Texas, on the other hand, has a diversified economy that exceeds Russia’s by about $400 billion. California is much larger.

Why are the Democrats obsessed? Dunno. But they should start to worry about China rather than Russia. China is the real deal, not some puffed up façade. For example, Texas has a GDP of about $58,000 per person; Russia, $8,700. They, the Russians, are, however, among the world’s leaders in corruption.

A final perspective about Russia. They currently have a population of about 140 million, say 10% the size of China. Roughly a third of the US. Between Hitler and Stalin, they lost 20 million people in the WWII time frame. Not a family in Russia escaped violent loss and much of their country was devastated. No wonder they were angry and hard to get along with during the Cold War. Now they have about 11 million more women than men…maybe due to alcohol? They got issues!

Trump said the US provides over 70% of the resources to protect Europe. So-called “fact checkers” despise Trump and will skew facts to support their positions. They cite that the US provides a much lower percentage of the NATO spending. True. But NATO couldn’t exist without our ability to perform air-to-air refueling, provide aircraft carriers, and a whole host of services that do not exist in the other nations’ arsenals. Basically, if NATO were a house, members other than the US would provide the furniture, the US would provide everything else—the foundation, the roof, the frame. You get the picture.

Again, Trump is right, the “fact checkers” are wrong.

Another factoid—only a handful of countries in NATO live up to their pledge to pay their “fair share” which is a factor of their GDP. Greece is one, but it is pretty easy when you have very little GDP. Germany does not. Not even close. But they posture, provocatively.

If you want an informed perspective on the world’s affairs, read The Economist. Worth it.

Sunday, June 2, 2019

PERSPECTIVE

Do you ever have trouble maintaining perspective? Sometimes it seems my life is the hardest, the most confusing...and then I talk to someone else.

Danny has been ordered to Corpus Christi, Texas and they will be moving. We will be following, although we will take some time to do some time in an RV. Plans keep changing, we are adjusting.

So, a neighbor stopped to talk. "Ya hear about the shooting? Twelve dead!" He was there. He was paying his real estate taxes. "Oh."  Whaddya say?

How ya doon? His mother-in-law had surgery that went bad, she died in a few weeks. His wife had a brain tumor. The litany went on. I failed to mention that I have had quite a bout of toenail fungus.

Do you ever think about how lucky you are? I should do that.

I should do that. Yep.

Monday, May 20, 2019

COLLEGE GRADUATION

We were invited to a graduation party this evening, a really nice affair for the daughter of our friends who happened to be from Nebraska!

A young person, starting out with an education from a stellar school, the University of Virginia. Surrounded by friends and family.

I remember the hot day in August, 1968, fifty-one years ago when we were invited to stand up; sit down; now you're a graduate. No parading across the stage for us.

The people who attended my graduation ceremony at Pershing Auditorium in Lincoln, Nebraska were few, and it dawned on me this evening that I am the only survivor of that bunch--my ex-wife and my parents are gone. My brother might have been there, too, but he's gone, too. I doubt that he was there, nor his wife, Carol, who is also gone, because it was August and farming needed to be done.

Things change over more than half a century. Here's to the next half century and a flourishing life for Allie, the young lady who just graduated.

Wednesday, May 8, 2019

CHINA

Last Friday, May 5, China sent a cable to Washington responding to a draft agreement between the two economic superpowers. That cable contained several key changes from earlier positions by the Chinese. The key change involves China's refusal to pass laws that enforce the provisions of the Agreement that would have put teeth into what has been weak promises over the last many years.

The changes required by the U.S.:

  • Stop the theft of U.S. intellectual property and trade secrets
  • Stop requiring forced technology transfers
  • Change Chinese policy that essentially prohibits competition
  • Provide access to financial services
  • Stop currency manipulation
President Trump speculates that the Chinese are backtracking in hopes of negotiating with Joe Biden or one of the weak Democratic candidates. He, therefore, is instituting an increase in the tariffs from 10% to 25% on Chinese goods in the near future.

The trade war hurts our farmers, especially those hit hard by flooding. Congress must do something to assist those small businesses besides giving them loans that must be repaid with interest (don't get me started on what the government provides to illegal aliens). These boosts also hurt some U.S. companies, like Caterpillar, which in turn is a kick in the pants to Linda's retirement plan.

The estimates of what the Chinese have stolen from the U.S. on an annual basis is in the billions of dollars. Even Trump's provisions do not expect that anything will be "fair" or "even." But what the Chinese have done with alacrity over a long time is ridiculous.

Consider that any tough negotiations will be curtailed if any of the Democratic candidates are elected. The Chinese will be home free.

Oh, and BTW--if the Chinese find the F-35 that the Japanese crashed into the Sea of Japan a couple of weeks ago, they will not get the technology harvest that the press has anticipated. The military did not sell the highest level tech to the Japanese because they are not as stupid as...well, some others.

Tuesday, April 23, 2019

LIFE ON MUSCOVY POND


The Muscovy duck pair had another bunch of ducklings a couple of weeks ago. Eight at first, then seven, then a single baby left. This morning, the mom was in the yard multiple times, and made a noise that is sort of like “quacking” but not quite, they are known as “mute” ducks.

She was calling for her baby. Then across the lake she would fly. Then swim back; fly over; fly back.

She wasn’t looking for food, she was seeking her last baby. Sadly, gone.

Life on Muscovy Pond is sometimes cruel.

Wednesday, April 3, 2019

ANOTHER DESPOT BITES THE DUST

The dictator of Algeria has stepped down after months of demonstrations.

The world cheers another victory inspired by the "Arab Spring."

Take a look at the results, though. For instance, the Egyptian government is now so dysfunctional that the historically precious sites have been left unguarded. Looting is unchecked, and that history will soon be lost to future generations.

Go Arab Spring!

Maybe the solution isn't as good as the current situation?

Friday, March 15, 2019

Nebraska News


I went 80 stories deep on Yahoo! and found all kinds of drivel, but not a word about the floods in Nebraska. Flyover, ya ain’t nothin’.

I looked at the first 82 stories on ABC news, and found that there was a story about weather in Syria, but nothing on the floods in Nebraska.

On CBS News, there was a story out of Fond du Lac Wisconsin, about flooding, but no mention of Nebraska. Close enough, I guess.

CNN…well, you have to wade through stuff about how brilliant AOC is, and how Ilhan Omar is the best thing since canned beer…but you guessed it. No mention of the flooding in Nebraska. Whoops, there is a mention but not a lead. Below the story on who Cory Booker is dating.

They all carried lead stories on how gun laws need to change.

They all carried lead stories about the 737-MAX-8…which were all fundamentally wrong, you will see.

And we wonder why we should doubt these news sources??

Fox was no better.

If you haven't heard, the who eastern part of Nebraska is under water. The Union Pacific main line is stopped, bridges washed out. Roads are gone, bridges gone. Billions of dollars of damage, one would think. Then talk about the calves that perished, it is right at the beginning of calving season.

Let’s talk about the 737-MAX-8. Notice that the accidents were with third world airlines? Why, you ask? Well, the First Officer in the Ethiopian Airlines crash had about 200 hours. I have more hours than that, and I am not qualified to deal with an emergency on any airplane, let alone a sophisticated one like the MAX. My prediction, supported by some, is that they will figure out that all they had to do was turn off the autopilot. We can get into the anti-stall prevention software, but turn the auto pilot off and fly the airplane, guys. Save a lot of lives.

But the media says Boeing is at fault. We’ll see.